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Richard Sachs Cycles

Never thought I’d see it!

A-train railing against free-market realities. Okay, so it’s not truly a free market, but there are limits to what banks receiving funds under TARP can do; limits designed to protect the American taxpayer as a senior investor (the investments are in preferred securities after all), whilst not placing excessive limits on free-market flexibility for the [...]

YES!!!

Looks like keeping everything crossed last night did some good … now to see what happens when the market opens later on today. So far futures are indicating a broad-based up-market day, but how is that going to affect the financials, and specifically Morgan Stanley?

At least we’ve got our deal in place, and so [...]

Fingers crossed …

Fingers crossed … toes crossed … legs crossed … arms crossed … eyes crossed … sign of the cross …

MUFG Aims to Sweeten Terms of Deal for Morgan – WSJ.com

Morgan Stanley and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. worked Sunday to finish their $9 billion pact, as both sides pushed to keep the general [...]

Ooof, what a week …

This week was totally unreal. Over the course of the past 6 weeks, since the beginning of September, I have lost over 50% of my net-worth; almost all of which is in my retirement plan.

On the other hand, I have been averaging my cost-basis down in Morgan Stanley, picking up another 150 shares yesterday, [...]

The aftermath …

Perhaps this plan will make Art a little happier … but I’d like to read the actual text of the bill before I make any judgments.

Democrats offer alternative ‘no bailouts act’ – CNN.com

WASHINGTON (CNN) — A small group of Democratic House members put together an alternative to the $700 billion financial bailout measure [...]

At what cost, “NO”?

Without a Bailout Plan, What Will the Cost Be? – TIME

By voting down the proposed $700 billion financial bailout package — and causing a spectacular stock market rout — a majority of members in the House of Representatives made a clear statement that they didn’t want to put taxpayers on the hook for the [...]

Bailout 101 (or how to mismarket a bill)

As I’m sure you’re all aware, the House of Representatives voted down the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (H.R. 3997) today.

People have no idea how screwed we are if the EESA 2008 doesn’t get passed.

“Bailout” was the worst marketing technique anyone could have chosen. The plan is not a taxpayer bailout of [...]

Summary of the Draft Proposal – WSJ.com

This sounds promising.

Summary of the Draft Proposal To Rescue U.S. Financial Markets – WSJ.com

IMPROVING THE FINANCIAL RESCUE LEGISLATION

Significant bipartisan work has built consensus around dramatic improvements to the original Bush-Paulson plan to stabilize American financial markets — including cutting in half the Administration’s initial request for $700 billion and requiring Congressional review [...]

Buffett says bailout may cost taxpayer nothing

Buffett Right, U.S. Bank Plan May Cost Nothing

Sept. 25 (Bloomberg) — President George W. Bush, billionaire Warren Buffett and BlackRock Inc.’s Laurence Fink are “absolutely” right to say a $700 billion U.S. plan to buy assets from financial firms may cost taxpayers nothing even with purchases at above-market prices, a top-rated analyst said.

[...]

Which world are we in?

Richard Baldwin, Professor of International Economics at the University of Geneva, in Switzerland, has the following to say at Economist.com:

Crisis roundtable: Which world are we in? | Free exchange | Economist.com

It seems that banks and bank-like financial firms have two fundamental problems:

1) An investment problem.

They have investments that cannot be traded [...]